Friday, March 5, 2021
Fed Discounts Bond Market Rout and Fuels More Sell-off. Is Cash King Again?
from Tickmill Expert Blog - Forex Traders Blog https://www.tickmill.com/blog/fed-discounts-bond-market-rout-and-fuels-more-sell-off-is-cash-king-again
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Top Trading Tools for Forex Traders - Forex education 2021 on Forex-Ratings.com
from Forex Trading Review Guide View Now
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To Be In The Top 5% Of Traders, Do What The Bottom 95% Won't » Learn To Trade The Market
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This Is How Millionaire Traders Think & Act » Learn To Trade The Market
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FOMO Friday: S&P500
from Tickmill Expert Blog - Forex Traders Blog https://www.tickmill.com/blog/fomo-friday-s-and-p500
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To Become A Great Trader, Avoid These 12 Trading Mistakes » Learn To Trade The Market
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Chart of The Day USDJPY
from Tickmill Expert Blog - Forex Traders Blog https://www.tickmill.com/blog/chart-of-the-day-usdjpy53
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XAUUSD – The key factors remain the USD & Yields
XAUUSD, H1
You will notice that the gold price decline is clearly correlated with higher bond yields by the all-time high of the gold price at the beginning of August last year. It was the same period that the US 10-year bond yield was also stuck in the all-time low zone, while another closely related asset to gold was the US dollar. During the volatility of the market in the past year, there were both periods when gold and dollar prices moved in opposite directions and the range moved in the same direction as a safe haven.
Just like last night, following comments from Fed Chair Powell that the 10-year US Treasury yield rose to a new high of 1.582, the US dollar index this morning moved up to a three-month high of 91.73, causing gold to drop to the original low, coming down to trade below the level 1,700.
From a technical point of view, last night the price of gold surpassed 1,700, falling in the same level as the March high zone. That was the beginning of the Covid-19 crisis and the gold price that has continued to fall so far. Still, there are no significant or interesting reversal signs or patterns. And from vaccination, including the new round of US economic stimulus measures one of the hopes of driving gold prices is now an inflationary concern. That began to cause concern in the market at this time but it has to be looked at whether investors will maintain their gold inflation hedge strategy or not. The first support seen at this time is at 1,685 and the next at 1,630, while the resistance is at 1,720 and 1,740, respectively.
On top of today’s economic calendar, there are Non-Farm Payroll figures that forex traders are looking forward to after the non-farm employment figure continues to fall below the market expectations since December onwards.
Click here to view the economic calendar or the free webinar.
Chayut Vachirathanakit
Market Analyst – HF Educational Office – Thailand
Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
from HF Analysis /218854/
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Amazingly Simple Scalping Price Action Trading Strategy To Dominate Forex Market | Trade Like A Pro
10Y Yield Hits Fresh Highs on Powell Comments
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Daily Market Outlook, March 5, 2021
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Dollar Higher; Powell's Dovish Comments Fuel Yield Gains
from Forex News https://www.investing.com/news/forex-news/dollar-higher-powells-dovish-comments-fuel-yield-gains-2438240
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Market Update – March 5 – Jobs, Jobs, Jobs,
What Fed Chair Powell did not say that shook up the markets.
Wall Street turned sharply lower following Fed Chair Powell, even though it was not what he said but what he did not mention that undermined equity sentiment. Specifically, he did not push back against the recent surge in Treasury rates. Indeed, he took attention of the spike and would be concerned by a “disorderly” move, providing tacit approval for the run-up in longer dated yields. Consequently, the stock market was dragged lower once again thanks to rising rates and expectations for more of the same as the economy and inflation pick-up further.
Headlines:
- The Chair’s comments that he took attention of the spike and would be concerned by a “disorderly” move were not in the market’s narrative.
- Fed Chair Powell’s perceived benign neglect of the surge in bond yields weighed on Treasuries and extended the recent selloff back toward the highs from February 25.
- The US 10-year rate corrected slightly overnight but remains at 1.56%. The 10-year rate is currently down -5.3 bp at 0.079%, while yields jumped 6.0 bp and 7.5 bp in Australia and New Zealand.
- The tech-heavy USA100 over -3% lower intraday, with spill over to the broader indexes. However, the losses were pared in late trading with closing declines of -2.11% on the USA100, -1.34% on the USA500, an d-1.11% on the USA30. JPN225 and ASX were still down -0.2% and -0.7% respectively at the close
- BoJ’s Kuroda sees no need to widen yield band. He said there is no need to widen the implicit band set for its long term yield target, while stressing the need to keep borrowing costs low to support the economy.
- Oil prices jumped higher after the OPEC+ meeting decided to maintain current output levels. The USOIL is currently trading at USD 64.60 per barrel.
- In Europe key central bankers have also played down the rise in rates and signalled that the central bank won’t add additional measures next week that would reverse the rise in rates. Verbal intervention and a flexible use of PEPP purchases will likely be used to smooth an uptrend that most central bankers seem to feel is essentially justified, given the improved outlook for growth later in the year.
- German manufacturing orders rose 1.4% m/m in January, more than anticipated
Forex Market
JPY – USD rally’s again – USDJPY over 108.00
EUR –dropped against a largely stronger dollar- Currently at 1.1947
GBP – at 1.3859
AUD – dipped below 50-DMA again, at 0.7686
CAD –steadied to 1.2660 after 1.2574 bottom.
GOLD – breaks the $1,700 – trades on 1695 now.
USOil – Oil rocketed following OPEC+ agreeing to no production increase and to keep current levels for at least April. USOil at 64.60 up from 59.20 lows on Wednesday.
Bitcoin – returns to 47K.
Today: Attention will turn to the US February employment report, hourly earnings, unemployment rat, January trade report and consumer credit is due late in the session, seen rising $10.0 bln from $9.7 bln previously. Canadian Ivey Purchasing Index in the tap as well.
Biggest mover – CADJPY (+0.60% as of 07:30 GMT)
Click here to access the our Economic Calendar
Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
from HF Analysis /218831/
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Dollar Up on the Wings of Powell’s Dovish Comments
from Forex News https://www.investing.com/news/forex-news/dollar-up-on-the-wings-of-powells-dovish-comments-2438167
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