Thursday, August 11, 2022
Bitcoin is Going up, EUR/USD Might Drop Soon
from Tickmill Expert Blog - Forex Traders Blog https://www.tickmill.com/blog/bitcoin-is-going-up-eurusd-might-drop-soon"
via IFTTT
Apple Powers up Ahead of iPhone 14/Pro Launch
The continued gains from Apple come amid reports that the company may launch the iPhone 14 and iPhone 14 Pro sooner than planned. According to reports, the iPhone 14, iPhone 14 Max, iPhone 14 Pro, and iPhone 14 Pro Max, three new Apple Watch models and AirPods Pro 2 may be hitting the market sooner.
Apple’s share price opened with a gap-up of more than 2% in yesterday’s trading. Intraday trading was relatively bullish, which prompted the share price to close the market with a 67-point gain from the opening price.
#Apple Stock’s rebound from 129.06 in June looks increasingly aggressive, having broken through the 151.72 resistance last July, with a total gain of +30% until yesterday’s market close. In terms of curves, technically the trend for Apple is still relatively moving to the upside, with the possibility to test 179.60 highs or at least be limited to a touch of the descending trendline (since December 2021) around 175.00. Meanwhile, the downside will remain capped at 151.72. The daily RSI hovers around 72, but overbought signs are unlikely to take effect after the CPI report lifted tech prices.
Click here to access our Economic Calendar
Ady Phangestu
Market Analyst – HF Educational Office – Indonesia
Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
from HF Analysis /502898/
via IFTTT
Why now is a good time to buy diamond miners
from Moneyweek RSS Feed https://moneyweek.com/investments/commodities/605212/why-now-is-a-good-time-to-buy-diamond-miners
via IFTTT
Wednesday, August 10, 2022
The best student bank accounts
from Moneyweek RSS Feed https://moneyweek.com/personal-finance/605210/the-best-student-bank-accounts
via IFTTT
Better Than Expected China Inflation Hints US CPI Report may Deliver Bullish Surprise Today
from Tickmill Expert Blog - Forex Traders Blog https://www.tickmill.com/blog/better-than-expected-china-inflation-hints-us-cpi-report-may-deliver-bullish-surprise-today"
via IFTTT
MICRO BITCOIN FUTURES (MBT1!), H4 Potential For Bullish Rise
from Tickmill Expert Blog - Forex Traders Blog https://www.tickmill.com/blog/micro-bitcoin-futures-mbt1-h4-potential-for-bullish-rise10"
via IFTTT
DAX INDEX Futures (FDAX1!), H4 Potential For Bearish Drop
from Tickmill Expert Blog - Forex Traders Blog https://www.tickmill.com/blog/dax-index-futures-fdax1-h4-potential-for-bearish-drop"
via IFTTT
S&P Midcap 400 Futures (EMD1!), H4 Potential for Bullish Rise
from Tickmill Expert Blog - Forex Traders Blog https://www.tickmill.com/blog/s-and-p-midcap-400-futures-emd1-h4-potential-for-bullish-rise10"
via IFTTT
Daily Market Outlook, August 10, 2022
from Tickmill Expert Blog - Forex Traders Blog https://www.tickmill.com/blog/daily-market-outlook-august-10-2022"
via IFTTT
Market Update – August 10 – Dollar, Stocks & Yields Consolidate ahead of CPI
USDIndex slipped under 106.00, yesterday before agin recovering to 106.20. US Stocks traded lower all day – dragged down by Semiconductors (NASDAQ -1.19%). MUSK to sell another $6.9 bn worth of TSLA stock (-2.44%). Intel -2.43%, NVDA -3.97%, Roblox -3.17%, GM +3.95%. Asian markets lower too (Hang Seng -2.45%, Nikkei -0.68%). European FUTS also lower. Yields rose into close 1.16% (10yr 2.797%), Oil has declined back under the $90 handle, Gold sank to $1788 support and BTC has moved back $22.7K area.
Biden announces a $280bn investment in high tech to compete with China; China maintains drills and firing around Taiwan.
- USDIndex tested down to 105.80 but has recovered the 106.00-20 range today ahead of US CPI later in the day. AUD underperformed in Asian session.
- Equities – USA500 closed down -17.59pts (-0.42%) (4122), US500FUTS at 4118 now. 100 MA at 4100.
- Yields 10-year yield rose into close as recovered USD. The 2/10yr. yield curve moved as much as 45bp inverted yesterday. 10yr trades down -0.25% at 2.79% now.
- Oil – rallied to test 200-hr MA at $92.60 before declining to $89.60 now.
- Gold – rallied & spiked to $1800 resistance before declining back to support at $1788 again. 20-day MA now $1761.
- Bitcoin’s surge to $24.2K Monday, declined further today to $22.6 earlier, back to test $23k now.
- FX Markets – EURUSD holds over 1.02000, at 1.0210, USDJPY continues to pivots around 135.00 and Cable does the same around 1.2080, in thin August markets.
Overnight – JPY PPI missed (8.6% vs 9.4%), China CPI & PPI both weaker too (2.7% vs 2.9% & 4.2% vs 6.1%) respectively. German CPI (Final) in line 0.9% m/m & 8.5% y/y.
Today – US CPI, Speeches from BoE’s Pill, Fed’s Evans & Kashkari. & Earnings from Disney, Honda, Fox, Aviva, Evonik & E.ON.
Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) EURAUD (+0.29%). Continued its bounce from 1.4580 support on Monday after declining from 1.4775 highs on Friday. Testing 1.4700 zone now. MAs aligning higher, MACD histogram now positive & signal line rising, RSI 61.83 & rising, H1 ATR 0.00148, Daily ATR 0.0132.
Click here to access our Economic Calendar
Stuart Cowell
Head Market Analyst
Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
from HF Analysis /502489/
via IFTTT
BTCUSD, H4 | Potential Bullish Continuation
from Tickmill Expert Blog - Forex Traders Blog https://www.tickmill.com/blog/btcusd-h4-or-potential-bullish-continuation10"
via IFTTT
Tuesday, August 9, 2022
Why the market is wrong about private equity
from Moneyweek RSS Feed https://moneyweek.com/investments/funds/investment-trusts/605209/why-the-market-is-wrong-about-private-equity
via IFTTT
Market Update – August 9 – USD & Stocks Dip
USDIndex slipped to test 106.00, before recovering to 106.20. US Stocks opened positively but closed flat for the day. NVDA –6.3%, Novavax -5.01%, AMC +8.03%, GM +4.16%. Asian markets mixed (Hang Seng flat, Nikkei -0.88%). European FUTS also mixed. Yields fell into close (10yr 2.7657%), Oil bounces close to 2% to recoup the $90 handle, Gold rallied over 1% from $1770 support and BTC moved up to test key $24K area.
China continues exercises around Taiwan for 6th day, Russia installs more troops around captured key Ukrainian nuclear power plant, as US promises another $1 billion in military aid.
Week Ahead – Highlight of the week is US CPI tomorrow which is expected to decline to 0.2% m/m and 8.7% y/y.
- USDIndex tested down to 106.00 after blockbuster NFP on Friday and holds 106.20 now. AUD & NZD underperformed in Asian session.
- Equities – USA500 closed flat -5.13pts (-0.12%) (4140), tested & rejected 4175 resistance intraday. US500FUTS at 4144 now. 100 MA at 4100.
- Yields 10-year yield fell into close as Treasuries eased with USD. The 2/10yr. yield curve moved as much as 44bp inverted intraday. 10yr closed 2.765%, trades at 2.76% now.
- Oil – rallied from 6-month lows under $87.00 again to test last weeks support at $90.70, and holds at $90.00.
- Gold – rallied from $1770, support to $1788 highs now. 20-day MA $1757.
- Bitcoin surged to $24.2K Monday, before trading at $23.7k now.
- FX Markets – EURUSD back over 1.02000, USDJPY rejected 135.50 Monday back to 135.00 now. Cable tested up to to 1.2130 back to 1.2080 support now.
Overnight – UK July Retail Sales beat (+1.6% vs. -1.3%), AUD Consumer Confidence in line (-3%).
Today – EIA STEO, Supply from UK, Germany & US.
Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) EURAUD (+0.36%). Bounced from 1.4580 support on Monday after declining from 1.4775 highs on Friday. MAs aligning higher, MACD histogram negative but signal line rising, RSI 53.62 & rising, H1 ATR 0.00161, Daily ATR 0.0134.
Click here to access our Economic Calendar
Stuart Cowell
Head Market Analyst
Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
from HF Analysis /502069/
via IFTTT
Weekly Market Update – 08 August 2022
The new week kicks off with the Dollar on the front foot on the back of impressive US July jobs figures from Friday.
Dollar
Stronger than expected July jobs figures from Friday’s NFP have buoyed the Dollar significantly and the Index continues to trade near multi-session highs around the 106.36 area at the time of writing. A key economic event this week in the form of July CPI data could potentially be the catalyst for a sustained run towards the upper end of the range around the 108.90 area and may influence the monetary stance of the FED going into September where a 75bps rate hike is increasingly becoming more of a probability.
Technical Analysis (H4)
In terms of market structure, price moved impulsively from the bear flag continuation pattern, towards the 104.96 area, before moving back up again correctively to retest the lows of the broken bear flag. What we see now is price potentially creating another bearish continuation pattern in the form of a rising wedge, which has the potential to yield a subsequent impulsive wave that would put the bears in control to challenge the 104.51 area. Conversely, if the pattern fails to break below the 104.96 area, then we could see the bulls take control and drive price towards the 108.00 area.
Euro
The Euro began this week trading at the lower end of the range it’s been locked in for the past three weeks between the 1.0132–1.0287 area. Volatility from the creation of additional jobs in the US economy in July was the catalyst for the move from the high towards the low end of the range. Market commentators are making the argument for an upside scenario out of this range as well as a downside scenario. The downside is influenced mainly by inflationary pressure and recession fears as well as geopolitical tensions between Europe and Russia. The upside scenario is mainly driven by investors already having priced in the above factors which supports the argument for the pair hitting the 1.0287 area since touching parity levels.
In terms of market structure, price is still locked in the potential bullish continuation pattern (Bull Flag) that we identified last week. An impulsive break above the structure at the 1.02786 area would be the catalyst for the confirmation of this pattern and put buyers in the driving seat to challenge the 1.04518 area. On the flipside, if the above-mentioned scenario fails, price could potentially revisit areas below the 1.0129 level.
Pound
Sterling kicked off the week trading up at 0.4%, clawing back some of the gains it lost in the latter half of Friday’s trading session. Going into the first half of the week though, investors will be cautious as US inflation data is poised to be released on Wednesday, and that will give a guide in relation to the health of the world’s strongest economy against the Pound and other peers. Nevertheless, economists are still pointing towards a more fragile Pound in Q3 as the Dollar remains strong, combined with the historic data that shows how poorly the Pound performs when global financial conditions tighten.
Technical Analysis (H4)
In terms of market structure, current price action is moving correctively towards the 1.19990 area in the form of a potential bullish continuation pattern (Descending Channel). The overall picture is drawing out a potential inverse head and shoulder pattern which has the potential to turn into a bullish reversal pattern at these areas. If confirmed we could see the bulls drive price towards the 1.24115 area, and on the flipside if price breaks below the 1.19480 area, we could see the bears take control and move price to challenge the lows around the 1.18970 area.
Gold
As the dust begins to settle from Friday’s NFP data, the new week is pivotal for the yellow metal as Inflation data for July comes firmly into sight this Wednesday and may be the catalyst for a potential downward move in the price. While the FED remains data-dependent for its policy outlook, Gold will remain at the mercy of US employment figures and a risk-on sentiment driven by the perception of a strong economy and the potential for increased aggression from the FED.
Technical Analysis (H4)
In terms of market structure, price has been moving in an uptrend, creating higher highs, and higher lows. Having exited the bullish continuation pattern (Falling Wedge) formed last week, price printed out an impulsive wave and pulled back to find support on the lower trendline of the channel. Henceforth price could continue its trajectory to hit the $1,810 area, or on the flipside sellers could take control of the market if price falls below the support around the $1,750 area.
Click here to access our Economic Calendar
Ofentse Waisi
Market Analyst
Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
from HF Analysis /502068/
via IFTTT
Don’t count resources out
Commodities have performed poorly over the past year, but they tend to move in long and volatile cycles. from Moneyweek RSS Feed https://m...
-
The new strain of covid found in South Africa could disrupt plans by governments and central banks to rebuild economies. Financial markets a...
-
Fidelity “FIS” is a global financial services technology company and a leader in providing technology solutions to merchants, banks and cap...
-
Asian Equities Sink on Covid FearsIt’s been a mixed start to the week for global equities benchmarks with US and European asset markets rema...





