Friday, August 26, 2022
US30USD, H4 | Potential Bullish Rise
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FOMO Fridays: EURAUD Under Water
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Investment Bank Outlook 26-08-2022
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Daily Market Outlook, August 26, 2022
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Market Update – August 26
- USDIndex – back in demand ahead of Powell at Jackson Hole and as markets speculated on 100 bps in ECB hikes by October, though it recovered some to finish at 108.64.
- EUR – Remains under parity. German GfK consumer confidence plunged to -36.5, which could keep Euro underpinned.
- JPY has lifted to 137.00, GBP steady below 1.1800.
- AUD fell 0.4% below the psychological level of $0.7 & NZD fell 0.5%, giving up some of the strong gains in the previous day. The AUD has been performing better against the battered European currencies.
- Stocks: US stocks are in the red with concern over aggressive tightening and a rise in yields capping gains (USA100 rallied 0.41%, with the USA500 up 0.29%, and the USA30 0.18% higher). Nikkei and ASX are up 0.8% and 0.5% after a strong close on Wall Street. GER40 and UK100 futures have lifted 0.4% and 0.3% respectively.
- Oil slumped by about $2 a barrel on the possible return of sanctioned Iranian oil exports and on worries about the impact on fuel demand from rising US. Down to $92.08.
- Gold – bounced from support at $151.80 to $1758.70.
Today – US PCE, Michigan Consumer Sentiment, Jackson Hole Symposium and Fed’s Chair Powell Speech.
Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) NZDUSD(–0.45%). Dropped to 0.6195 from 0.6250. MAs aligning lower, MACD histogram negative & signal line falling, RSI 36.74 & dropping, H1 ATR 0.00089.
Click here to access our Economic Calendar
Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
from HF Analysis /508473/
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Neom megacity: Saudi Arabia’s vision of the future
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Thursday, August 25, 2022
On the Road to Jackson Hole!
Treasury yields have been choppy in early action awaiting Chair Powell’s speech Friday. There was little reaction from the GDP or claims data though the marginal boosts to growth and consumption in GDP, and the tightening in claims did weigh at the margin. Bonds had already pared their earlier gains after comments from the KC Fed’s George who indicated the FOMC will have to move rates up into restrictive territory, possibly over 4% and hold there in order to bring down demand.
Click here to access our Economic Calendar
Stuart Cowell
Head Market Analyst
Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
from HF Analysis /508189/
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MICRO DAX Futures (FDXS1!), H4 Potential For Bullish Rise
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The Crude Chronicles - Episode 150
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Which is best – buy-to-let or shares?
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Daily Market Outlook, August 25, 2022
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Market Update – August 25 – USD Slips, Stocks Gain – Jackson Hole Ahead
- USDIndex – another volatile day – down from 109.00 declined to 108.20 after mixed Durable Goods & more Housing Data. – Jackson Hole in focus.
- EUR – Remains weighed by energy crisis and record high GAS prices. German GDP helps a lift back to 1.000, but in 4th day below this key level.
- JPY holds between 137.00 & 136.00 having failed to breach 137.00 yesterday.
- GBP also weighed by energy crisis & widening strike action.Trades at 1.1850 with 1.1800 now support.
- Stocks US stocks gained into close. (S&P500 -12.00pts (+0.3%) 4140) – Biggest movers – Peloton & BBBY (+20 & +18%) ; Revlon & Nordstrom (-11% & –20%). Nvidia -4.56% After hours following Earnings miss.
- Oil continued to rally, more chatter of OPEC+ production cuts, BP closing refineries due to fires and a big fall in inventories. Up 0.5% over $95 to $95.60.
- Gold – bounced from support at $1736 and $1745 and trades at $1758.
- BTC – over 21-21.5K range at 21.6k.
Overnight – Asian equity markets recovered after nine days lower, European FUTS also higher. NZD Retail Sales Miss significantly (-2.3% vs. 1.7%), JPY SPPI misses (2.1% vs. 2.2%) German Final Q2 GDP a tick better at (0.1% vs. 0.0%).
Today – German Ifo, US GDP (2nd), PCE Prices Prelim, Jackson Hole Symposium, ECB, CBRT & Banxico Minutes.
Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) AUDUSD (+0.88%). Rally from 0.6850 & 0.6900 support continues, trades at 0.6975 now. MAs aligning higher, MACD histogram positive & signal line rising, RSI 73.60 OB & rising, H1 ATR 0.00137, Daily ATR 0.00823.
Click here to access our Economic Calendar
Stuart Cowell
Head Market Analyst
Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
from HF Analysis /507971/
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Gold Price Forecast: Potential Rise Ahead?
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Three cryptocurrency funds for the adventurous investor
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