Bitcoin has completed its correction at the broken level of 21500 and crossed the level of 22500. The asset is likely to face resistance at the level of 25000 soon. So, let’s observe what will happen.Oil is approaching the supporting level of 21.00, which also marks a 50% correction from the latest ascending move. It is noteworthy that oil might pull back from this level soon.The currency pair EUR/USD has pulled from the local broken level of 1.0770 and underwent correction. The asset’s price is likely to drop to the level of 1.0350, gain the required support, and jump again.
from Tickmill Expert Blog - Forex Traders Blog https://www.tickmill.com/blog/bitcoin-is-done-correcting-what-s-next
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Thursday, February 16, 2023
AUDUSD Potential for Bullish Rise to recent swing high
To discuss this trading idea, head over to Tickmill Traders Club where you can get direct access to our team of world-class analysts.TitleAUDUSD, H4 | Potential reversal off a key overlap support TypeBullish ReversalPreference:We are seeing the price has tested and bounced back from the key support. Looking for a pullback buy entry at 0.68778 where below the 1st support level. We are looking for take profit at 0.70141.
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NZDUSD Potential for bearish drop to previous swing low
To discuss this trading idea, head over to Tickmill Traders Club where you can get direct access to our team of world-class analysts.TitleNZDUSD Potential for bearish drop to previous swing lowTypeBearish ReversalPreference:Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for NZDUSD is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market.Expecting price to drop from the pivot which is the overlap resistance level towards the support which is the previous swing low.
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USDJPY Potential for bullish rise towards previous swing high
To discuss this trading idea, head over to Tickmill Traders Club where you can get direct access to our team of world-class analysts.TitleUSDJPY Potential for bullish rise towards previous swing highTypeBullish BouncePreference:Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for USDJPY is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market.Looking for price to retest the pivot which is the overlap support, before heading towards the resistance which is the previous swing high.It's worthy to note that there is an intermediate resistance which is an overlap resistance level. Price might struggle to break through that area.
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Wednesday, February 15, 2023
6 funds to buy with the gold price near an all-time high
The gold price in sterling is trading near an all-time high. Rupert Hargreaves looks at six ways to invest in the yellow metal ahead of further gains.
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BOE in Focus As UK Inflation Falls Again
UK Inflation Falls AgainGood news today for UK consumers, and also the BOE, with the latest UK economic data reflecting a third consecutive monthly decline in consumer prices. Annualised inflation printed at 10.1% last month, down from the prior month’s 10.5% and now down a full 1% from the peak inflation reading of 11.1% seen in Q4 2022. Notably, the reading was also below market projections for a 10.3% reading.Data BreakdownLooking at the breakdown of the data, transport costs were the biggest driver of the decline at 3.1% from 6.5% prior while restaurants and hotels also marked a decline at 10.8% vs 11.3% prior. However, housing and utilities costs were seen creating upward pressure at 26.7% vs 26.6% prior as were health costs at 6.3% vs 5.1% prior. Alcohol and tobacco were also higher at 5.1% vs 3.7% prior.Core Inflation Falls AlsoA further encouraging sign was that core inflation, which strips out food and energy costs, was also seen falling. Annualise core inflation printed 5.8%, down from 6.3% prior, and below the 6.2% the market was looking for. While clearly still well above the BOE’s 2% target, inflation is now moving in the right direction at least and the big question on traders’ lips is: what does this mean for the BOE?At its last meeting, along with hiking rates to their highest level in 14 years, the BOE signalled that inflation had likely peaked in the UK. The BOE has been a reluctant tightener of monetary policy throughout this cycle (often accused of being slow and lacklustre) and so today’s data will no doubt bolster the view that the bank is getting closer to pausing rate hikes.Downside Risks into March BOEAhead of the data, the latest Reuters poll showed that the majority of forecasters were looking for the BOE to pivot down to a smaller .25% hike in March. In light of this data, there are now downside risks that the BOE pauses altogether. At the very least, if the BOE does hike again, that will likely mark the start of the pause date – which is what the market will be focused on anyway. With this in mind, there are downside risks for GBP into the meeting.Technical ViewsGBPUSDThe pair continues to hold within the triangle pattern which has framed the recent consolidation here. With 1.2195 holding as resistance, the pair looks vulnerable to a drop lower, in line with weakening momentum studies. Should we see a break of the triangle lows, 1.1474 is the next support to note.
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HM Land Registry: UK house prices fell in December
The latest house price index from the government shows house prices ticked lower in the final months of 2022.
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UK inflation slows again, but remains near a 40-year high
Figures from the Office for National Statistics showed CPI fell to 10.1% in January as lower fuel prices started to filter through to consumers.
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AUDUSD Potential for Bearish Drop to recent swing low
To discuss this trading idea, head over to Tickmill Traders Club where you can get direct access to our team of world-class analysts.TitleAUDUSD, H4 | Potential for Bearish Drop to recent swing low TypeBearish ReversalPreference:Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias is bearish as there is a strong resistance level. Looking for a pullback entry at 0.70111, take profit at 0.68709.
from Tickmill Expert Blog - Forex Traders Blog https://www.tickmill.com/blog/audusd-potential-for-bearish-drop-to-recent-swing-low15674645r
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GBPNZD Potential for bullish rise towards previous swing high
To discuss this trading idea, head over to Tickmill Traders Club where you can get direct access to our team of world-class analysts.TitleGBPNZD Potential for bullish rise towards previous swing highTypeBullish BouncePreference:Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for GBPNZD is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market.Expecting price to retest the pivot which is the overlap support before possibly heading towards the resistance which is previous swing high.
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Tuesday, February 14, 2023
Market Spotlight: Airbnb Earnings Up Next
Airbnb Reporting TodayAlong with January US CPI we also have two big US earnings reports due today with Coca Cola and Airbnb reporting Q4 results. Looking at the latter, shareholders are hoping for a seventh consecutive positive set of earnings results. Given that the market is looking for both EPS and revenues to have fallen from the prior quarter, you might argue that the bar is set relatively low for a strong result today which should help propel Airbnb shares higher.Bullish Expectations for AirbnbLooking at recent results in the travel sector, Q4 earnings have been mostly positive, bar the weakness in Expedia, suggesting that Airbnb stands to post some decent results today. The post-pandemic surge in travel and holidays is helping drive a rebound across the sector of which Airbnb is likely to have capitalised in Q4. Ideally, for bulls in the stock, today’s earnings would come in above forecasts while US CPI would undershoot, creating perfect conditions for a further rally. Still, regardless of US CPI, if today’s results show strength, Airbnb should be poised for a breakout in coming weeks and months. Technical ViewsAirbnbThe rally in Airbnb shares off the 87.01 level has seen the market stalling yet again into a retest of the broken bullish trend line. However, the stock has found support ahead of the 103.67 level support and while this area holds, the focus is on a continuation higher and an eventual breakout above the 126.55 level.
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Market Spotlight: Tesla & US Inflation
US Inflation in Focus TodayToday’s US inflation reading couldn’t have more meaning attached to it. We’ve seen a seismic shift in market sentiment on the back of the surprisingly strong US labour reports for January. With the NFP coming in almost 300% above forecasts alongside the unemployment rate dropping to its lowest levels since 1969, traders are grappling with the prospect of a resurgence in Fed hawkishness. The key takeaway from the report is that the US economy is holding up better than expected and therefore the Fed has more headroom to continue with rate hikes for longer or at higher levels.Market ScenariosToday’s inflation report will therefore be seen as either confirming this perspective or diluting it once again. If inflation is seen spiking higher last month, particularly if above forecasts, then hawkish pricing for the March FOMC is likely to increase, driving USD higher near-term while sending equities and commodities lower. Given that pricing for a larger .5% hike in March is currently only around 12%, an upside surprise today has the potential to drive a firm USD rally as pricing switches in favour of a larger hike. However, if CPI undershoots forecasts today this should help curtail USD bullishness ahead of the meeting, creating room for stocks and commodities to push higher.Technical ViewsTeslaThe rally in Tesla shares has stalled for now into a test of the 207.71 area. If today’s US inflation data undershoots forecasts, this should see fresh upside in the stock with a break of 207.71 opening the way for a test of 255.61 next. However, if USD rallies on the back of a hot inflation reading today, the stock is likely to retest support at 170.22. This will be a key pivot for Tesla with bulls needing to defend the level to keep the bullish outlook alive.
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When is the next energy price cap announcement and what does it mean for your bills?
Ofgem is set to announce the latest price cap this month - we look at what it could be and if it means lower energy bills this year
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ONS: Private sector wages grow faster than expected
The latest figures from the Office for National Statistics show growth in total pay fell 3.1% when adjusted for inflation.
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