Law Debenture Investment Trust offers something for all investors

The Law Debenture Investment Trust has some key qualities that have helped it vastly outperform the market over the past decade

from Moneyweek RSS Feed https://moneyweek.com/investments/funds/investment-trusts/605720/law-debenture-investment-trust
via IFTTT

Market Spotlight: S&P Testing Channel Lows Ahead of US GDP

US Adv GDP Up NextOn the back of last night’s FOMC minutes, focus today switches US advanced GDP for Q1. On the back of the prior quarter’s 2.9% reading, the market is looking for an unchanged result today. Clearly, with the recent narrative of surprising resilience in the US economy creating room for the Fed to push ahead with tightening, today’s data will be of high importance.Bullish USD/ Bearish Equities ScenarioIf market forecasts are surpassed, this will further bolster the view that the Fed might lean towards a higher rate increase in March, or a more hawkish outlook. With last nights minutes showing that some Fed members backed a larger hike in January, there is a very real risk of such a move given the recent run of US data we’ve seen. In this scenario, USD is likely to be firmly bid while risk assets should recoil near-term.Bearish USD/ Bullish Equities ScenarioOn the other hand, if today’s data undershoots forecasts, this might suggest that the market has become a little carried away recently with the hawkish Fed perspective. In this scenario, USD is likely to weaken and stocks should see better gains as market pricing leans back towards a smaller .25% hike in March.Technical ViewsS&PThe market is at in interesting point here as we test the bull channel lows. A fresh move higher in USD today should see a downside break of the channel where the big focus will then be a test of the 3910 support. This is a key pivot for the index and a break below here will be firmly bearish. However, if this area holds, or we move higher from current levels, focus will be on the 4153.50 level, a break of which will open the way for a move back up towards 4305 next.

from Tickmill Expert Blog - Forex Traders Blog https://www.tickmill.com/blog/market-spotlight-s-and-p-testing-ch
via IFTTT

Market Spotlight: Nvidia Beats Forecasts & Signals Growth Ahead

Nvidia Bounces BackThe big story from US earnings yesterday was the better than forecast results from tech group Nvidia. Rebounding from the prior quarter’s losses, the group posted Q4 EPS of $0.88 vs $0.81 expected on revenues of $6.051 billion vs $6.015 billion expected. Worth noting that year-on-year both EPS and revenues were lower. However, along with quarter-on-quarter uptick, investors appeared buoyed by the group’s more optimistic 2023 outlook when compared with some of the gloomier forecasts we’ve heard across this earnings season.AI Demand GrowthThe big driver behind Nvidia’s quarterly growth was the success in it’s data centre business, fuelled by a rise in chip sales for AI. Nvidia’s position as a leading producer of graphics cards has helped it capitalise on this new growth area.  Looking ahead, the group was optimistic about its chances of continued growth linked to surging demand from AI interest. With businesses of all sizes reportedly feeling an urgency to invest in AI capabilities, Nvidia is well positioned to ride the wave via its chip sales and cloud businesses. For Q1, the company forecast revenues of $6.5 billion, topping Wall Street’s own $6.35 billion forecasts.Technical ViewsNvidiaThe rally off last year’s lows has seen the stock breaking out above the bear trend line from 2022 highs and more recently, above the 193.10 level resistance. This is a key pivot for the stock and while above here the focus is on a further move higher towards the 285.60. Should price slip back below the level, the next support will be the rising trend line off Q3 2022 lows.

from Tickmill Expert Blog - Forex Traders Blog https://www.tickmill.com/blog/market-spotlight-nvidia-beats-forecasts-and-signals-growth-ahead
via IFTTT

USDCAD Potential for Bullish Rise to Previous swing high

To discuss this trading idea, head over to Tickmill Traders Club where you can get direct access to our team of world-class analysts.TitleUSDCAD, H4 | Potential Bullish Rise to Previous swing high TypeBullish Rise Preference:Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for USDCAD is bullish as the current price is above Ichimoku cloud. Looking for a pullback buy entry at 1.35142 where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is, and take profit at 1.37038 where the overlap resistance and 61.8% Fibonacci Line are.

from Tickmill Expert Blog - Forex Traders Blog https://www.tickmill.com/blog/usdcad-potential-for-bullish-rise-to-previous-swing-high
via IFTTT

Market Spotlight: AUDNZD Plunges on RBNZ Hike - FOMC Minutes Next

RBNZ Hikes Again – More to Come, But Slower PaceThe RBNZ hiked rates once again overnight at its February MPR meeting. Despite signals in November of a further .75% hike to come, the bank ultimately opted for a smaller hike in the face of the recent weather disasters in New Zealand which have ravaged parts of the country and are expected to exacerbate the economic issues facing the country. Along with the smaller hike, the RBNZ also forecast a further pivot in April with a projected .25% hike. Finally, while the bank maintained its peak rate level, the RBNZ said it now expects to take longer to hit that rate with a slower pace of tightening now planned over 2023. However, the RBNZ was clear in reaffirming that it will continue with tightening this year in order to drive inflation down.AUD SuffersThe reaction in NZD was most pronounced against AUD with AUDZND plunging on the back of the meeting. AUD has been under pressure this week since the RBA meeting minutes despite the minutes revealing a more hawkish skew among members. Looking ahead, the pair looks vulnerable to further downside should today’s FOMC minutes provoke a fresh rally in USD, with AUD likely to bear the brunt of the move.Technical ViewsAUDNZDThe rally in AUDNZD off last year’s lows has been framed by a rising wedge pattern. With plenty of bearish divergence into recent highs, risks of a reversal lower are growing. Price is now testing below the structure and is currently probing support at 1.0954. If we break below here, there is open water down to 1.0750 next, in line with weakening momentum studies.

from Tickmill Expert Blog - Forex Traders Blog https://www.tickmill.com/blog/market-spotlight-audnzd-plunges-on-rbnz-hike-fomc-minutes-next
via IFTTT

Should you consolidate your small pensions pots?

The Department for Work and Pensions is consulting on helping workers who hold a number of small pension pots. But here's what you need to think about if you have several pension pots and are thinking about consolidating them.

from Moneyweek RSS Feed https://moneyweek.com/personal-finance/pensions/605667/small-pension-pots-consolidation
via IFTTT

The Net Zero energy revolution is anything but green

Dominic Frisby explains why the world may struggle to hit its Net Zero energy goals as the environmental and monetary costs mount.

from Moneyweek RSS Feed https://moneyweek.com/investments/605716/net-zero-energy-revolution
via IFTTT

Daily Market Outlook, February 22, 2023

Daily Market Outlook, February 22, 2023Stocks Suffer From PMI StrengthAsian Equities retreated overnight, following US markets lower. Growth and inflation expectations increased following a robust round of PMI data. PMI prints from western economies provided a more optimistic outlook for growth, however, the inflation read was more ambiguous with supply chain disruptions easing but service sector inflation remaining elevated. The data docket in the European session is scant today, investors will eye German IFO business survey which markets expect to deliver further signs of improving conditions. Yesterday’s Eurozone flash PMI rose to a nine-month high led by service sector activity, impressively the manufacturing read also signalled a return to growth, aided by indications of further reductions in supply chain constraints. Expect today’s headline IFO index to rise to 91.5 from 90.2, supported by incremental improvements in current conditions and expectations, this  would be a fifth consecutive uptick to the best levels since midsummer of 2022The Federal Market Open Committee will release the minutes of its February policy meeting this evening, the minutes, however, may now be a little stale given subsequent robust US data releases and predominantly hawkish rhetoric from policymakers. Nevertheless, these recent data releases reinforce the hawkish mantra that is likely to come out of the minutes that a policy ‘pivot’ remains a stretch target, as markets have repriced, believing the Fed will raise rates by a further 75bp by the summer and investors have abandoned the notion of rate cuts later this year..FX Options Expiration New York CutN/AOvernight News of NoteStock Futures Inch Higher As Investors Brace For Fed MinutesFed Minutes To Show Support Level For Larger Hikes, Higher PeakBiden Fed Vice Chair Search Set To Focus On Ex-Treasury OfficialsUS Plan To Impose New Sanctions On Russian Individuals, EntitiesUS House Panel Expected To Hold Hearing On Policy About ChinaChina Call Russia Ties ‘Solid As A Rock’ Amid Ukraine Peace PushBoJ Member Tamura Calls For Keeping Ultra-Easy Policy For NowJapan Benchmark Yield Tops Above 0.5% BoJ Cap In Second DayAustralia Wage Growth Weaker Than Expected As Rate Bets PareRBNZ Hikes 50Bps And Flags More To Come As Inflation Too HighPM Sunak Secures Backing Of Key Brexiters For NI Protocol DealGerman Business Morale Set For Fifth Consecutive ImprovementCoinbase See Quarterly Loss, Crypto Winter Hits Trading Volume(Sourced from Bloomberg, Reuters and other reliable financial news outlets)Technical & Trade ViewsSP500 Bias: Intraday Bullish Above Bearish Below 4030Primary support is 3970Primary objective is 4384Below 3960 opens 389020 Day VWAP bearish, 5 Day VWAP bearishEURUSD Bias: Intraday Bullish Above Bearish below 1.0710Primary resistance is 1.0850Primary objective is 1.0430Above 1.0860 opens 1.0920 Day VWAP bearish, 5 Day VWAP bearishGBPUSD Bias: Intraday Bullish Above Bearish below 1.22Primary resistance  is 1.2265Primary objective 1.1785Above 1.2265 opens 1.233720 Day VWAP bearish, 5 Day VWAP bearishUSDJPY Bias: Intraday Bullish above Bearish Below 134Primary support  is 131.85Primary objective is 134.70Below 130.80 opens 130.1120 Day VWAP bullish, 5 Day VWAP bullishAUDUSD Bias: Intraday Bullish Above Bearish below .6910Primary resistance is .7050Primary objective is .6750Above .7150 opens .725020 Day VWAP bearish, 5 Day VWAP bearishBTCUSD Intraday Bias: Bullish Above Bearish below 25200Primary support 23600Primary objective is 26700Below 20300 opens 1950020 Day VWAP bullish, 5 Day VWAP bullish

from Tickmill Expert Blog - Forex Traders Blog https://www.tickmill.com/blog/daily-market-outlook-february-22-2023
via IFTTT

USDCAD Potential for Bullish Rise to Previous swing high

To discuss this trading idea, head over to Tickmill Traders Club where you can get direct access to our team of world-class analysts.TitleUSDCAD, H4 | Potential Bullish Rise to Previous swing high TypeBullish Rise Preference:Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for USDCAD is bullish as the current price is above Ichimoku cloud. Looking for a pullback buy entry at 1.35142 where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is, and take profit at 1.37038 where the overlap resistance and 61.8% Fibonacci Line are.

from Tickmill Expert Blog - Forex Traders Blog https://www.tickmill.com/blog/usdcad-potential-for-bullish-rise-to-previous-swing-high
via IFTTT

AUDUSD potential for bearish drop towards overlap support

To discuss this trading idea, head over to Tickmill Traders Club where you can get direct access to our team of world-class analysts.TitleAUDUSD potential for bearish drop towards overlap supportTypeBearish BreakoutPreferenceLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for AUDUSD is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market.Looking for price to drop from the pivot towards the overlap support.

from Tickmill Expert Blog - Forex Traders Blog https://www.tickmill.com/blog/audusd-potential-for-bearish-drop-towards-overlap-support
via IFTTT

What is a dividend yield?

Learn what a dividend yield is and what it can tell investors about a company's plans to return profits to its investors.

from Moneyweek RSS Feed https://moneyweek.com/investments/investment-strategy/too-embarrassed-to-ask/601807/what-is-a-dividend-yield
via IFTTT

Women to get one year’s supply of HRT for less than £20

A new scheme from the Department of Health and Social Care could reduce a woman’s HRT bill from over £200 to under £20 a year.

from Moneyweek RSS Feed https://moneyweek.com/personal-finance/605715/women-to-get-one-years-supply-of-hrt-for-less-than-ps20
via IFTTT

Market Spotlight: Walmart Shareholders Hoping For More Earnings Growth

Walmart In Focus TodayThe big focus for US stock traders today will be the release of Walmart’s Q4 earnings, coming just before the US open. The company’s performance always attracts plenty of attention given its status as an indicator of overall US economic health due to its size. One of the key themes we’ve heard from CEO’s over this earnings season has been the uncertainty and downside risks within the economic outlook for the year ahead. With inflation still at elevated levels and US rates having risen sharply last year, many retailers particularly have highlighted uncertainty in their guidance which is likely to be the message offered from Walmart also.Market ForecastsOn the numbers front, the market is looking for EPS of $1.51 on revenues of $159.72 billion. Both numbers will mark an uptick on the prior quarter if confirmed, marking a third straight quarter of earnings growth. Importantly, those figures would also mark a solid increase from the same period a year earlier, which should help drive Walmart shares higher near-term provided the forward guidance isn’t too pessimistic.Technical ViewsWalmartThe rally in Walmart shares off the 138.19 lows has seen the stock breaking above the bear channel from December highs. Price is now testing 146.21 which is a key level for the market. A break higher here will open the way for a test of the December highs around 154.30. Should price slip back from here, the next support to note is 138.19

from Tickmill Expert Blog - Forex Traders Blog https://www.tickmill.com/blog/market-spotlight-walmart-shareholders-hoping-for-more
via IFTTT

Market Spotlight: GBPJPY Breaking Out On UK Data Beat

Strong Services Sector Gains GBP has been on the rise today as traders digest the latest set of UK economic data. January PMIs saw the UK services sector bouncing back into growth territory last month with the index printing 53.3, up from the prior month’s 48.7 result and above the 49.1 the market was looking for. This marks the first time since July that the sector has been in growth territory after plunging over Q3 and Q4 2022. One particularly encouraging sign for the BOE was the PMI price index- used to determine expected future price inflation – was seen falling to its lowest level since April 2021.Manufacturing Rises Also Along with the increase in the services sector reading the manufacturing index also recorded an increase, jumping to 49.2 from 47 prior. While still in negative territory, the trajectory is encouraging and the reading was above the 47.5 the market was looking for.UK Econ Outlook ImprovingThe data reinforces the view that the UK economy is doing a little better than expected when measured against projections being made into the back end of last year. The BOE recently said that while it still expects a downturn this year, the dip will likely be milder than expected. Following the UK economy narrowly avoiding falling into recession in Q4, this initial January data is being taken as an encouraging sign that the worst of it is over and the economy is back on the up, helping lift GBP sentiment.Technical ViewsGBPJPYThe rally in GBPJPY off the Feb lows has seen the market breaking out above the 159.98 level and more recently the 162.08 level. The latest break marks a significant development and while above here the focus is on a further push higher and a test of next resistance at 164.56, with the bear channel highs around there also. Retail market heavily short and momentum studies bullish, supporting the move.

from Tickmill Expert Blog - Forex Traders Blog https://www.tickmill.com/blog/market-spotlight-gbpjpy-breaking-out-on-uk-data-beat
via IFTTT