Daily Market Outlook, February 20, 2023

Daily Market Outlook, February 20, 2023Asian Markets Recover After A Tepid Start To The Trading WeekAsian equities opened on the backfoot given a mixed handover from Wall Street as investors squared positions ahead of the Friday close and the US Presidents Day holiday today (with the NYSE closed today). Overnight geopolitical concerns were once again at the fore, with North Korea test firing an ICBM and multiple rocket launcher drills, this was coupled with lingering China-US tensions as China warned the US on escalating tensions regarding ‘ballon-gate’ the US countered with its own warnings regarding China providing pro Russian support in the Ukrainian war. The Shanghai Comp and Hang Seng were once again regional outperformers supported by continuing liquidity provisioning by the PB0C.Today’s data docket is very scant. Eurozone consumer confidence is expected to post its fourth monthly rise in a row, however, the increase is from record low levels. This is the first of several Eurozone surveys for February due this week all of which are expected to show that economic conditions in the region are showing nascent signs of improvement. UK January public finances data, due early Tuesday, will reveal self-assessment income tax returns for the year. Any indication from this that annual borrowing levels will come in below forecasts may lead to more calls for new policy measures in the March Budget. Down under in Australia the central bank will release minutes of its February policy meeting ealy Tuesday, after raising rates by 25bps at that meeting and pointed to the likelihood of further hikes, investors will parse the minutes for signs of further intentions to continue restrictive monetary policy in the first half of this year.Last week saw an extension of the rebound in market interest rate pricing in the US, this move commenced after the very robust employment report for January, when investors began to see markets actively reprice the terminal rate higher, with Fed officials rhetoric also confirming a sense that higher for longer remains the name of the game, last week's data pointed to a slower decline in inflation and better than expected manufacturing activity reinforced the belief of elevated rates persisting, this week the Fed’s preferred inflation metric, core personal consumer expenditure deflator, will be released and may point to another rise of 0.4% month over month leaving the Fed adrift by 0.17% month over month from achieving levels that would return the US to it’s 2% inflation target.FX Options Expiration New York CutGBPUSD 1.1000(400m)Overnight News of NoteAsia Shares Hesitant Ahead Of Updates On Fed, BoJ PoliciesFed’s Preferred Inflation Gauges Seen Running Hot This WeekUS Plans New Russia Export Controls, Key Industries SanctionsUS-China Meeting Only Worsens Tensions Over Balloon, RussiaWH To Hold Secret Talks With Taiwan Officials In WashingtonChinese Banks Hold Rates Steady, Analysts Bet Easing To ComeBoJ Viewers Flag Outside Risk Of March Surprise To Help UedaIran Nuclear Inspectors Find Uranium Enriched To 84% PurityNorth Korea Fires Barrage Of Ballistic Missiles As It Warns USECB’s Makhlouf Defends Runaway Economic Growth As ‘Real’UK PM Sunak Forced To ‘Pause’ Protocol Deal Amid BacklashMeta To Launch Subscription Service For Facebook, InstagramDeutsche Bank Criticised By Regulators Over Mis-Selling Probe(Sourced from Bloomberg, Reuters and other reliable financial news outlets)Technical & Trade ViewsSP500 Bias: Intraday Bullish Above Bearish Below 4100Primary support is 4005Primary objective is 4384Below 4000 opens 396520 Day VWAP bearish, 5 Day VWAP bearishEURUSD Bias: Intraday Bullish Above Bearish below 1.0710Primary resistance is 1.0950Primary objective is 1.0430Above 1.0820 opens 1.0920 Day VWAP bearish, 5 Day VWAP bearishGBPUSD Bias: Intraday Bullish Above Bearish below 1.21Primary resistance  is 1.2265Primary objective 1.1785Above 1.2265 opens 1.233720 Day VWAP bearish, 5 Day VWAP bearishUSDJPY Bias: Intraday Bullish above Bearish Below 134Primary support  is 131.85Primary objective is 134.70Below 130.80 opens 130.1120 Day VWAP bullish, 5 Day VWAP bullishAUDUSD Bias: Intraday Bullish Above Bearish below .7050Primary resistance is .7050Primary objective is .6750Above .7150 opens .725020 Day VWAP bearish, 5 DayVWAP bearishBTCUSD Intraday Bias: Bullish Above Bearish below 25200Primary support 23500Primary objective is 26700Below 20300 opens 1950020 Day VWAP bullish, 5 Day VWAP bullish

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